Ameriprise Financial Services (AMP) Second Quarter Earnings Overshoot Estimates

Ameriprise Financial Services (AMP) exited with quarterly earnings of $5.81 per share, beating Zacks consensus estimate of $5.73 per share. That compares to earnings of $5.27 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.

This quarterly report represents a profit surprise of 1.40%. A quarter ago, this financial services company was expected to post earnings of $5.93 per share when it actually produced earnings of $5.98, delivering a surprise 0.84 %.

In the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates four times.

Ameriprise, which is part of the Zacks Financial – Investment Management segment, posted revenue of $3.48 billion for the quarter ended June 2022, missing Zacks’ consensus estimate by 0.87%. That compares to revenues of $3.39 billion a year ago. The company has exceeded consensus revenue estimates only once in the past four quarters.

The sustainability of the immediate stock price movement based on recently released numbers and future earnings forecasts will primarily depend on management’s comments on the earnings call.

Ameriprise stock has lost about 18.4% year-to-date compared to a -16.8% drop for the S&P 500.

What’s next for Ameriprise?

With Ameriprise underperforming the market so far this year, the question on investors’ minds is: what’s next for the stock?

There is no easy answer to this key question, but a reliable measure that can help investors answer it is the company’s earnings outlook. This includes not only current consensus earnings expectations for the upcoming quarter(s), but also how those expectations have changed recently.

Empirical research shows a strong correlation between short-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track these revisions on their own or rely on a proven scoring tool like Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.

Prior to this publication of results, the trend of estimate revisions for Ameriprise: unfavourable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions may change following the release of the company’s earnings report, the current situation translates into a Zacks No. 5 ranking (strong sell) for the stock. Thus, stocks are expected to underperform the market in the near future. You can see the full list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

It will be interesting to see how the estimates for the next few quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $6.14 on $3.53 billion in revenue for the upcoming quarter and $24.44 on $14.29 billion in revenue for the current fiscal year.

Investors should be aware that the outlook for the sector can also have a significant impact on stock performance. In terms of Zacks industry rankings, Financial – Investment Management is currently in the bottom 9% of over 250 Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of industries ranked by Zacks outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.

Another stock in the same sector, Franklin Resources (BEN), has not yet released its results for the quarter ended June 2022. The results are expected to be published on July 28.

This investment manager is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.73 per share in its next report, representing a year-over-year change of -24%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised down 11.6% in the past 30 days from the current level.

Franklin Resources revenue is expected to be $2.07 billion, down 4.7% from the year-ago quarter.

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